إسرائيل، منذ السابع من أكتوبر 2023 وهي تقاتل على جبهتين؛ الأولى على جبهة وجودها كدولة.. والثانية: على جبهة أمنها القومي، التي تعتمد أساساً على إحياء نظرية الردع عندها، حيث لا تكتمل إلا بإعلانها رسمياً وإقليمياً، بالقوة إذعاناً، من قِبل دول وشعوب المنطقة (القوة الإقليمية المهيمنة). هذه المنطقة تتجاوز مساحتها جغرافياً من هضبة الأناضول شمالاً بالامتداد شرقاً مخترقة الشمال الأفريقي (العربي) إلى المحيط الأطلسي، غرباً. وجنوباً حتى بحر العرب والقرن الأفريقي والصحراء الكبرى على حدود المنطقة الاستوائية في أفريقيا، بما في ذلك شرقاً، وحتى شبه القارة الهندية. وشرقاً: منطقة شرق السويس مروراً بشرق الفرات حتى آسيا الصغرى، على حدود الصين الغربية. مناطق معظمها أراضٍ عربية وإسلامية.
هناك، في نظرية الأمن القومي الإسرائيلية، ربط إستراتيجي بين قضية وجودها والإبقاء على قوة ردع جبارة تغطي حدود كيانها المحلي، بطوقٍ يردع بعنف وبلا رحمة، كل المناطق المحيطة مباشرة بكيانها (منطقة الطوق الأقرب)، من النيل للفرات (شرقاً وغرباً)، بعمق إستراتيجي من شرق السويس، جنوباً، ومن هضبة الأناضول شمالاً وحتى هضبة الجولان والهلال الخصيب وشمال شبه الجزيرة العربية جنوباً. ومن المغرب نزولاً جنوب الصحراء المغربية وحتى موريتانيا، ومن شرق الفرات والقرن الأفريقي وبحر العرب، وبلاد فارس، وحتى أذربيجان شمالاً (السور الأبعد).
دولة صغيرة، لا تملك موارد طبيعية أو مدد بشري، تؤهلها للقيام بدور القوة الإقليمية المهيمنة، في منطقة شاسعة بمواردها البشرية وزاخرة بمواردها الطبيعية وغنية بتراثها الحضاري، رسّخت لوجودها في المنطقة، بتاريخ وجود المنطقة نفسها الجغرافي، بشقيه (البشري والتضاريسي). كيان إقليمي مشكوك في شرعية وجوده، لا يمتلك من الموارد ولا البشر ولا العمق التاريخي ولا الامتداد الجغرافي، يتطلع للقيام بدور إقليمي مهيمن، عجزت قوى كبرى على مر التاريخ المعروف، القيام به، من الهكسوس، وحتى الإمبراطوريات القديمة، إلى عهد الاستعمار الحديث.
صحيح إسرائيل، نجحت في تحييد دول الطوق (الأقرب)، خلال نصف القرن الماضي.. وكذا تعزيز معضلة وجودها باختراق دول السور (الأبعد)، سواء بالتواجد الفعلي والاعتراف بها، بل حتى التطبيع معها، من قبل جيوب في منطقة (السور الأبعد)، في الشمال الأفريقي والخليج العربي وجنوب البحر الأحمر والقرن الأفريقي. إلا أن إستراتيجيتها في فرض ردع فعّال، يُسَوِّق للقبول بوجودها والتطبيع معها، إذعاناً وليس قناعةً، تعرّضت لاختبار صعب ومصيري، منذ أحداث السابع من أكتوبر 2023.
قطاع صغير من أرض فلسطين (360 كلم مربع)، أثبتت أن إستراتيجية الردع الإقليمي الإسرائيلي، أضعف من مواجهة قطعة أرض متطرفة من حدود فلسطين التاريخية، مكتظة بالبشر ومحاصرة، تهدد إستراتيجية الردع لديها، التي أخافت دول الطوق الأقرب.. ونجحت نسبياً أن تُسَوّقَ لها قبولاً لوجودها من قبل دول (السور الأبعد).
الخطر محدقٌ في المرحلة القادمة على دول وشعوب المنطقة الوسطى العربية (العازلة) بين منطقتي (الطوق الأقرب والسور الأبعد). دول وشعوب هذه المنطقة الوسطى (العازلة) من الناحية الإستراتيجية، دون تطوير خطة إستراتيجية تمتلك قوة ردع مضادة، تصبح هذه المنطقة العربية الوسطى، ليس فقط منطقة نفوذ لإسرائيل ضمن إستراتيجية إسرائيل التوسعية، بل لضعفها (أمنياً) ووفرة مواردها الطبيعية وكبر سوقها، بموقعها ضمن كماشة منطقتي (الطوق الأقرب والسور الأبعد)، تشكّل إستراتيجياً، مجالاً حيوياً للتوسع الجغرافي، للدولة العبرية.
هذا التوسع الإسرائيلي المحتمل خارج نطاق فلسطين التاريخية، يتجاوز فرض وجود الدولة العبرية، لتكون، هذه المنطقة العازلة (المنطقة الوسطى) ضمن حدود هذا الكيان غير المشروع، مما ستكون له أبعاد إستراتيجية وأمنية خطيرة، بتبعات ثقافية وحضارية وتاريخية ودينية ممتدة، ليتحوّل الجدل من مشروعية الكيان الإسرائيلي، إلى التوسع الإقليمي لإسرائيل بما يتجاوز واقع الاحتلال لفلسطين، إلى ادعاءات وأساطير تلمودية، تاريخية ودينية يهودية.
إسرائيل وجِدت بمعونة وتأييد ودعم الغرب المسيحي، ضمن خليط يحمل من التناقضات التاريخية والدينية، للثقافة (المسيحية التواراتية)، ضد التراث والعقيدة الإسلامية، في أرض الرسالات. لا نبالغ إذا ما قلنا إن وجود إسرائيل يمثّل طفرة عصرية حديثة (ثالثة) للحروب الصليبية، في عالم ترتفع فيه تكلفة الحروب إلى مستويات لا مسبوقة، لم يشهد لها التاريخ مثيلاً، قد يقود أي توتر ينتج عنه مستوى لو ضئيل من عدم الاستقرار، إلى نشوب حربٍ أممية، كفيلة بأن تنهي الحياة على الأرض.
أطماع إسرائيل التوسعية على حساب أراضي العرب، تضاريسَ وتاريخاً وبشراً وثقافةً وحضارةً، تمثّل خطراً إستراتيجياً (واضحاً وناجزاً وآنياً)، ليس فقط على أمن العرب القومي، بل على مصير السلام في العالم بأسره، بما فيه أمن حلفائها في العالمَين القديم والجديد، عبر المحيطَين الأطلسي والهادي.
تابع قناة عكاظ على الواتساب
Israel, since October 7, 2023, has been fighting on two fronts; the first is the front of its existence as a state, and the second is the front of its national security, which fundamentally relies on reviving its deterrence theory, which can only be completed with its official and regional declaration, through force and submission, from the countries and peoples of the region (the dominant regional power). This area geographically extends from the Anatolian Plateau in the north, eastward penetrating North Africa (Arab) to the Atlantic Ocean in the west, and southward to the Arabian Sea, the Horn of Africa, and the Sahara Desert on the borders of the equatorial region in Africa, including eastward to the Indian subcontinent. To the east: the area east of Suez passing through the Euphrates to Asia Minor, on the borders of western China. Most of these areas are Arab and Islamic lands.
There, in the Israeli national security theory, there is a strategic link between the issue of its existence and maintaining a formidable deterrent force that covers the borders of its local entity, with a perimeter that violently and mercilessly deters all areas immediately surrounding its entity (the closest perimeter), from the Nile to the Euphrates (east and west), with a strategic depth from east of Suez, southward, and from the Anatolian Plateau in the north to the Golan Heights, the Fertile Crescent, and the northern Arabian Peninsula to the south. From Morocco down to southern Moroccan Sahara and up to Mauritania, and from the east of the Euphrates, the Horn of Africa, and the Arabian Sea, and Persia, up to Azerbaijan in the north (the farthest wall).
A small state, lacking natural resources or human support, qualifies it to play the role of the dominant regional power in a vast area rich in human resources and abundant in natural resources and cultural heritage, has solidified its presence in the region, with the history of the region's geographical existence, in both its aspects (human and topographical). A regional entity whose legitimacy is questionable, lacking resources, people, historical depth, and geographical extension, aspires to play a dominant regional role, a role that major powers throughout known history have failed to fulfill, from the Hyksos to ancient empires, to the era of modern colonialism.
Indeed, Israel has succeeded in neutralizing the surrounding (closest) countries over the past half-century... and also in enhancing the dilemma of its existence by penetrating the countries of the far wall, whether through actual presence and recognition, or even normalization with it, by pockets in the area of the (far wall), in North Africa, the Arabian Gulf, the southern Red Sea, and the Horn of Africa. However, its strategy of imposing effective deterrence, which markets acceptance of its existence and normalization with it, through submission rather than conviction, has faced a difficult and fateful test since the events of October 7, 2023.
A small sector of Palestinian land (360 square kilometers) has proven that the Israeli regional deterrence strategy is weaker than facing a small piece of land at the extreme of the historical borders of Palestine, densely populated and besieged, threatening its deterrence strategy, which frightened the closest surrounding countries... and has relatively succeeded in marketing acceptance of its existence by the countries of the (far wall).
The danger looms in the coming phase for the countries and peoples of the central Arab region (buffer) between the two areas of (the closest perimeter and the far wall). The countries and peoples of this central (buffer) region, from a strategic perspective, without developing a strategic plan that possesses counter-deterrence power, will make this central Arab region not only a sphere of influence for Israel within its expansionist strategy but also, due to its (security) weakness and the abundance of its natural resources and large market, positioned within the pincers of the two areas of (the closest perimeter and the far wall), strategically forming a vital area for geographical expansion for the Hebrew state.
This potential Israeli expansion beyond the historical borders of Palestine goes beyond imposing the existence of the Hebrew state, making this buffer area (the central region) within the borders of this illegitimate entity, which will have dangerous strategic and security implications, with extended cultural, civilizational, historical, and religious consequences, transforming the debate from the legitimacy of the Israeli entity to Israel's regional expansion that exceeds the reality of the occupation of Palestine, to claims and Talmudic myths, historical and religious Jewish narratives.
Israel was established with the assistance, support, and backing of the Christian West, within a mixture that carries historical and religious contradictions of the (Christian-Torah) culture, against the heritage and Islamic creed, in the land of messages. We do not exaggerate if we say that Israel's existence represents a modern (third) wave of the Crusades, in a world where the cost of wars has risen to unprecedented levels, unseen in history, which could lead any tension resulting in even a slight level of instability to the outbreak of a global war capable of ending life on Earth.
Israel's expansionist ambitions at the expense of Arab lands, topography, history, people, culture, and civilization, represent a clear, immediate, and strategic danger, not only to the national security of Arabs but also to the fate of peace in the entire world, including the security of its allies in both the old and new worlds, across the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans.
There, in the Israeli national security theory, there is a strategic link between the issue of its existence and maintaining a formidable deterrent force that covers the borders of its local entity, with a perimeter that violently and mercilessly deters all areas immediately surrounding its entity (the closest perimeter), from the Nile to the Euphrates (east and west), with a strategic depth from east of Suez, southward, and from the Anatolian Plateau in the north to the Golan Heights, the Fertile Crescent, and the northern Arabian Peninsula to the south. From Morocco down to southern Moroccan Sahara and up to Mauritania, and from the east of the Euphrates, the Horn of Africa, and the Arabian Sea, and Persia, up to Azerbaijan in the north (the farthest wall).
A small state, lacking natural resources or human support, qualifies it to play the role of the dominant regional power in a vast area rich in human resources and abundant in natural resources and cultural heritage, has solidified its presence in the region, with the history of the region's geographical existence, in both its aspects (human and topographical). A regional entity whose legitimacy is questionable, lacking resources, people, historical depth, and geographical extension, aspires to play a dominant regional role, a role that major powers throughout known history have failed to fulfill, from the Hyksos to ancient empires, to the era of modern colonialism.
Indeed, Israel has succeeded in neutralizing the surrounding (closest) countries over the past half-century... and also in enhancing the dilemma of its existence by penetrating the countries of the far wall, whether through actual presence and recognition, or even normalization with it, by pockets in the area of the (far wall), in North Africa, the Arabian Gulf, the southern Red Sea, and the Horn of Africa. However, its strategy of imposing effective deterrence, which markets acceptance of its existence and normalization with it, through submission rather than conviction, has faced a difficult and fateful test since the events of October 7, 2023.
A small sector of Palestinian land (360 square kilometers) has proven that the Israeli regional deterrence strategy is weaker than facing a small piece of land at the extreme of the historical borders of Palestine, densely populated and besieged, threatening its deterrence strategy, which frightened the closest surrounding countries... and has relatively succeeded in marketing acceptance of its existence by the countries of the (far wall).
The danger looms in the coming phase for the countries and peoples of the central Arab region (buffer) between the two areas of (the closest perimeter and the far wall). The countries and peoples of this central (buffer) region, from a strategic perspective, without developing a strategic plan that possesses counter-deterrence power, will make this central Arab region not only a sphere of influence for Israel within its expansionist strategy but also, due to its (security) weakness and the abundance of its natural resources and large market, positioned within the pincers of the two areas of (the closest perimeter and the far wall), strategically forming a vital area for geographical expansion for the Hebrew state.
This potential Israeli expansion beyond the historical borders of Palestine goes beyond imposing the existence of the Hebrew state, making this buffer area (the central region) within the borders of this illegitimate entity, which will have dangerous strategic and security implications, with extended cultural, civilizational, historical, and religious consequences, transforming the debate from the legitimacy of the Israeli entity to Israel's regional expansion that exceeds the reality of the occupation of Palestine, to claims and Talmudic myths, historical and religious Jewish narratives.
Israel was established with the assistance, support, and backing of the Christian West, within a mixture that carries historical and religious contradictions of the (Christian-Torah) culture, against the heritage and Islamic creed, in the land of messages. We do not exaggerate if we say that Israel's existence represents a modern (third) wave of the Crusades, in a world where the cost of wars has risen to unprecedented levels, unseen in history, which could lead any tension resulting in even a slight level of instability to the outbreak of a global war capable of ending life on Earth.
Israel's expansionist ambitions at the expense of Arab lands, topography, history, people, culture, and civilization, represent a clear, immediate, and strategic danger, not only to the national security of Arabs but also to the fate of peace in the entire world, including the security of its allies in both the old and new worlds, across the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans.
