كان المشهد في البيت الأبيض لافتاً للنظر؛ قادة أوروبيون يمثلون «القارة العجوز» يجلسون حول الطاولة، فيما الرئيس الأمريكي دونالد ترمب يطل عليهم من خلف مكتبه، وفي ذهنه رسالة واضحة: أوروبا التي اعتادت طويلاً على المظلة الأمريكية يجب أن تتحمّل تكلفة أمنها. هذه اللحظة الرمزية تختصر معادلة عالمية يتصدّرها ترمب بخطابه المباشر ورؤيته المختلفة عن أسلافه.
لقد كان ضعف بعض الإدارات الأمريكية السابقة سبباً مباشراً في اندلاع أزمات دولية وسقوط أنظمة، كما يرى محللون أن الأزمة الأوكرانية لم تكن لتندلع لو كان ترمب في السلطة. فإدارة بايدن، مدعومة من العواصم الأوروبية، اختارت تمويل حرب تستنزف أوكرانيا أكثر مما تدعمها. في المقابل، تبدو روسيا قادرة على الصمود لسنوات، إذ لم يتأثر اقتصادها على نحو بالغ، فيما يواصل قطاع السياحة فيها النمو، بينما تنزف كييف بشرياً واقتصادياً كل يوم.
كان من المفترض أن يقود الموقف الأمريكي إلى حلول سياسية أكثر صرامة تأخذ في الاعتبار مصالح روسيا، القوة العظمى التي تشعر بالحصار نتيجة سياسات التوسع الأوروبي شرقاً، خصوصاً مع تمدد حلف الناتو. وهنا يظهر الفارق في النهج: فترمب، خلال عام واحد فقط من رئاسته، تمكّن من تجنيب العالم صدامات خطيرة، سواء بين الهند وباكستان، أو في بعض مناطق أفريقيا حيث ضغطت إدارته لمنع تفاقم نزاعات في جنوب السودان والقرن الأفريقي. واليوم يطرح نفسه بديلاً قادراً على إدارة الأزمة الأوكرانية بعقلانية تحفظ التوازن الدولي.
الدور السعودي أيضاً برز في هذا السياق، إذ لعب الأمير محمد بن سلمان دوراً محورياً في تقريب وجهات النظر بين بوتين وترمب، ثم في وساطة مؤثرة بين موسكو وكييف. لم يكن ذلك ممكناً لولا الثقل السياسي للمملكة ومصداقيتها المتنامية في الساحة الدولية، حيث باتت الرياض جسراً بين القوى الكبرى، وفاعلاً رئيسياً في تخفيف التوترات. والدور الذي صاغه رجل المنطقة القوي الأمير محمد بن سلمان يزداد أهمية كل يوم نتيجة الرؤية العقلانية والاستيعاب لضرورات الاستقرار العالمي وأدواته.
إن المهمة الأبرز أمام ترمب حالياً هي كبح جماح الدعم الأوروبي غير المشروط لأوكرانيا؛ لأن هذا الدعم يزيد من تعقيد الأزمة ويصطدم بروح الاتفاقيات التي تحد من توسع الناتو. المستقبل القريب مرشح لأن يشهد صيغة جديدة: أوكرانيا خارج الحلف، مقابل ضمانات أمنية لروسيا تطمئنها وتعيد التوازن.
بهذا المعنى، تظل أمريكا ميزان الاستقرار في العالم، لكنها ميزان يتوقف على قوة قيادتها وجرأة ساستها. وترمب، برؤيته الصريحة وأسلوبه المختلف، يعيد طرح السؤال الكبير: هل تعود واشنطن لتقود العالم من موقع القوة، لا من موقع التردد؟
سلطان السعد القحطاني
«الترامبية السياسية» ميزان العالم المستقر..!
21 أغسطس 2025 - 00:08
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آخر تحديث 21 أغسطس 2025 - 00:08
تابع قناة عكاظ على الواتساب
The scene at the White House was striking; European leaders representing the "old continent" sat around the table, while U.S. President Donald Trump looked down at them from behind his desk, with a clear message in mind: Europe, which has long relied on the American umbrella, must bear the cost of its own security. This symbolic moment encapsulates a global equation led by Trump with his direct rhetoric and different vision from his predecessors.
Some analysts believe that the weakness of certain previous U.S. administrations was a direct cause of international crises and the fall of regimes, suggesting that the Ukrainian crisis would not have erupted had Trump been in power. The Biden administration, backed by European capitals, chose to finance a war that drains Ukraine more than it supports it. In contrast, Russia appears capable of withstanding for years, as its economy has not been severely affected, while its tourism sector continues to grow, whereas Kyiv suffers human and economic losses every day.
The American stance was supposed to lead to stricter political solutions that take into account Russia's interests, the great power that feels besieged due to the policies of eastern European expansion, especially with NATO's expansion. Here lies the difference in approach: Trump, in just one year of his presidency, managed to spare the world from serious confrontations, whether between India and Pakistan, or in certain areas of Africa where his administration pressured to prevent the escalation of conflicts in South Sudan and the Horn of Africa. Today, he presents himself as an alternative capable of managing the Ukrainian crisis rationally, preserving international balance.
The Saudi role also emerged in this context, as Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman played a pivotal role in bridging the views between Putin and Trump, and then in an influential mediation between Moscow and Kyiv. This would not have been possible without the political weight of the Kingdom and its growing credibility on the international stage, where Riyadh has become a bridge between major powers and a key player in easing tensions. The role shaped by the region's strongman, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, grows in importance every day due to the rational vision and understanding of the necessities of global stability and its tools.
The most prominent task facing Trump currently is to curb the unconditional European support for Ukraine; because this support complicates the crisis and clashes with the spirit of agreements that limit NATO's expansion. The near future is likely to witness a new formula: Ukraine outside the alliance, in exchange for security guarantees for Russia that reassure it and restore balance.
In this sense, America remains the balance of stability in the world, but it is a balance that depends on the strength of its leadership and the courage of its politicians. Trump, with his candid vision and different style, is reintroducing the big question: Will Washington return to lead the world from a position of strength, not from a position of hesitation?
Some analysts believe that the weakness of certain previous U.S. administrations was a direct cause of international crises and the fall of regimes, suggesting that the Ukrainian crisis would not have erupted had Trump been in power. The Biden administration, backed by European capitals, chose to finance a war that drains Ukraine more than it supports it. In contrast, Russia appears capable of withstanding for years, as its economy has not been severely affected, while its tourism sector continues to grow, whereas Kyiv suffers human and economic losses every day.
The American stance was supposed to lead to stricter political solutions that take into account Russia's interests, the great power that feels besieged due to the policies of eastern European expansion, especially with NATO's expansion. Here lies the difference in approach: Trump, in just one year of his presidency, managed to spare the world from serious confrontations, whether between India and Pakistan, or in certain areas of Africa where his administration pressured to prevent the escalation of conflicts in South Sudan and the Horn of Africa. Today, he presents himself as an alternative capable of managing the Ukrainian crisis rationally, preserving international balance.
The Saudi role also emerged in this context, as Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman played a pivotal role in bridging the views between Putin and Trump, and then in an influential mediation between Moscow and Kyiv. This would not have been possible without the political weight of the Kingdom and its growing credibility on the international stage, where Riyadh has become a bridge between major powers and a key player in easing tensions. The role shaped by the region's strongman, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, grows in importance every day due to the rational vision and understanding of the necessities of global stability and its tools.
The most prominent task facing Trump currently is to curb the unconditional European support for Ukraine; because this support complicates the crisis and clashes with the spirit of agreements that limit NATO's expansion. The near future is likely to witness a new formula: Ukraine outside the alliance, in exchange for security guarantees for Russia that reassure it and restore balance.
In this sense, America remains the balance of stability in the world, but it is a balance that depends on the strength of its leadership and the courage of its politicians. Trump, with his candid vision and different style, is reintroducing the big question: Will Washington return to lead the world from a position of strength, not from a position of hesitation?
