في تحذير خطير للأمين العام لمنظمة أطباء بلا حدود السيد لوكيير يقول فيه إن هناك أخطاراً جسيمة تنتج عن تفشي الأمراض الوبائية مثل الكوليرا وحمى الضنك والحصبة جرّاء انهيار المنظومة الصحية في السودان وتفاقم الوضع الإنساني، وأن الاستجابة الإنسانية غير كافية، وليس هناك قاعدة عمليات للأمم المتحدة ووكالاتها المختلفة مع تراجع لتمويل العمل الإنساني من المؤسسات الدولية، ونزوح أكثر من 13 مليون سوداني يعيشون أوضاعاً غير إنسانية، وأن السودان يواجه كارثةً إنسانيةَ وصحية معقدة مع تفشي أوبئة مدمرة، قد تمتد إلى دول مجاورة.
ومع هذه الصورة السوداء القاتمة التي ما زالت مستمرة في تجدّد القتال العنيف بين القوات المسلحة والدعم السريع في غرب كردفان تزداد الأزمة في السودان، وتكتسب أبعاداً أكثر فداحة، وأشد تعقيداً، فبعد أن كانت مجرد «تمرد»، في رقعة محدودة، أصبحت اليوم حرباً إقليميةً بما شهدته من توتر في المنطقة الحدودية مع ليبيا مؤخراً..
وأستطيع دون مواربة أن أشير بأصبع الاتهام المباشر إلى جماعة الإخوان، التي أحكمت قبضتها على السودان منذ انقلاب (الترابي – البشير) في العام 1989م، وسعيها إلى إنزال مشروعها الحضاري، بتغيير في بنية المجتمع ومؤسساته، في مشهد لا واصف له إلا أنه «عملية إفراغ دولة في حزب»،
وفقدت بعض الأجهزة صفتها القومية وأصبحت ألعوبة في يد «الإخوان»، الذين ذهبوا أبعد من ذلك باصطناع مليشيات بدءاً من «الدفاع الشعبي»، مروراً بـ«الدعم السريع» و«المشتركة»، و«البراؤون»، وعشرات الجماعات التي باتت تتناسل وتتكاثر كل يوم في مشهد عبثي و«تراجيكوميدي»، باعثاً على البؤس، ومضيفاً مزيداً من الوقود إلى حريق السودان الذي انتشر وعمّ كل ربوعه..
ولست بمتجنٍّ ولا متجاوز الحقيقة عندما ألقيت باللوم على «الإخوان» بتحميلهم كامل التبعية فيما يحدث، فقد كان ممكناً تدارك هذه الأزمة في بداياتها، عندما هبّت المملكة العربية السعودية وهيّأت «منبر جدة» ليتفاوض السودانيون فيما بينهم، وكلّما أوشك الجميع للوصول إلى حلّ يرضي الجميع، برزت الأيدي الخفية لجماعة الإخوان، وحرّكت الملف باتجاه تعميق الأزمة، وتأجيج نيران الصراع، والإيحاء بأن لا حل إلا عبر البندقية. والأدهى من ذلك أن ملف السودان جعل المغامرين والحالمين باستعادة سلطتهم المنهارة يطوفون به بين الدول رجاء حل يوافق ميولهم، فمن المنامة إلى إسطنبول إلى طرابلس إلى القاهرة، في مشهد لا يخرج عن دوائر التشكيك، وإطالة أمد الحرب، والمحصلة أن كل هذه المحطات انتهت بهم إلى الإشارة علناً أو ضمناً بضرورة العودة إلى «جدة»..
وهنا تكمن الأزمة ويستوطن الأسى، فليت «إخوان» السودان حكّموا العقل، وأدركوا أن سلطتهم قد زالت إلى غير رجعة، وأن السودان يتهيّأ لأمر جديد، أسوة بما حصل في سوريا التي وجدت العون والسند من المملكة العربية السعودية وقيادتها الحكيمة، فها هي تنهض مما لحق بها في عهد «الأسد»، فقد كان خليقاً بالسودان وجديراً به أن يسبق سوريا إلى ذلك لو أن الماسكين بزمام الأمر فيه ملكوا قدراً من الوعي، وشيئاً من البصيرة، وكثيراً من الحكمة لتجنيب بلادهم ما حاق ويحيق بها اليوم من دمار وتشتت، وأوبئة، ومستقبل مظلم.
والمؤسف والداعي إلى الأسى أن يحاول البعض إيهام نفسه والآخرين بقرب انتهاء هذه الحرب، والتأكيد على نصر زائف لن يتحقق عبر البندقة مهما اشتد زنادها، وشواهد التاريخ في بلد السودان ماثلة ومذكرة بما انتهى إليه الصراع المسلح في الجنوب..
إن ما يدور في الساحة السودانية من متغيرات سياسية واقتصادية واجتماعية يوشك أن يوصلنا إلى قناعة أنه ماضٍ إلى التشظي والانقسام والانشطار إلى دويلات لا تملك أي منها مقوّمات الحكم المفرد دون تداعيات كارثية، فالتلويح الأخير الذي قام به «الدعم السريع» بتكوين حكومة في مناطق سيطرته يعطي النذر الأولى، وإن لم يحظَ بالتأييد والمساندة، بل بالممانعة والرفض، وهو أمر ربما يصمد لأمد، لكنه في المقابل قد يتغيّر بتغير نواتج الحرب المستعرة الآن، ونذر مشاركات إقليمية فيها..
ومن المهم كذلك أن نستصحب التناقضات الكبيرة التي يمور بها المشهد في المناطق التي تسيطر عليها السلطة الحاكمة في بورتسودان، بعد ارتحالها من الخرطوم، فكل المحاولات الجارية لتشكيل حكومة مدنية، بعد اختيار الدكتور كامل إدريس، رئيساً مكلفاً لمجلس الوزراء، تصطدم بمطامع الفرقاء المشاركين في الحرب ضد الدعم السريع، خاصة الكتل المسلحة المنسوبة إلى منطقة غرب السودان، من حركة تحرير، أو مشتركة، وهو ملف تمسكه حركة الإخوان من وراء ستار، وتسيّر دفته كيفما شاءت، وتفرض أجندتها وخياراتها، ساعية نحو تموضع نفسها في السلطة عبر كوادر الصف الثاني من غير المعروفين من قيادتها الوسيطة، مما نشطت معه دوائر الكشف عنهم والتأكيد على انتمائها لجماعة الإخوان.
والحال كذلك ستظل أزمة السودان تراوح مكانها، وسيظل مستقبل هذا الوطن رهناً بمغامرة هذه الجماعة التي غيّرت وجه السودان، وخلخلت بنيته الاجتماعية، وأهدرت موارده الاقتصادية، ورهنته إلى مستقبل مسيّج بالاحتمالات الكارثية، ما بين تفتيت، وسلطة مغامرة، وموت زؤام، وحرب مستمرة لا تبقي ولا تذر.
اللهم آمنّا في أوطاننا وأبعد عنا ما يكدر صفو أيامنا واحفظ علينا ولاة أمورنا.
تابع قناة عكاظ على الواتساب
In a serious warning from the Secretary-General of Médecins Sans Frontières, Mr. Lukier, he states that there are grave dangers arising from the outbreak of epidemics such as cholera, dengue fever, and measles due to the collapse of the healthcare system in Sudan and the worsening humanitarian situation. He emphasizes that the humanitarian response is insufficient, and there is no operational base for the United Nations and its various agencies, alongside a decline in funding for humanitarian work from international institutions, with more than 13 million Sudanese displaced and living in inhumane conditions. Sudan is facing a complex humanitarian and health disaster with the spread of devastating epidemics that may extend to neighboring countries.
With this bleak picture that continues amid the renewed violent fighting between the armed forces and the Rapid Support Forces in West Kordofan, the crisis in Sudan is escalating, taking on more severe and complex dimensions. What began as a mere "rebellion" in a limited area has now turned into a regional war, especially with the recent tensions in the border region with Libya...
I can, without hesitation, point a direct finger of accusation at the Brotherhood group, which has tightened its grip on Sudan since the (Turabi-Bashir) coup in 1989, and its efforts to impose its civilizational project by changing the structure of society and its institutions, in a scene that can only be described as "the process of emptying a state into a party."
Some institutions have lost their national character and have become playthings in the hands of the "Brotherhood," who have gone further by creating militias starting from the "Popular Defense," through the "Rapid Support Forces," "Joint Forces," "Barawun," and dozens of groups that have proliferated and multiplied every day in a chaotic and "tragicomedy" scene, contributing to misery and adding more fuel to the fire of Sudan that has spread throughout its regions...
I am neither exaggerating nor distorting the truth when I blame the "Brotherhood" for bearing full responsibility for what is happening. This crisis could have been averted in its early stages when the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia stepped in and prepared the "Jeddah Platform" for Sudanese to negotiate among themselves. Whenever everyone was close to reaching a solution that satisfied all, the hidden hands of the Brotherhood emerged, steering the file towards deepening the crisis, igniting the flames of conflict, and suggesting that there is no solution except through the gun. What is worse is that the Sudan file has made adventurers and dreamers of regaining their collapsed power roam between countries seeking a solution that aligns with their inclinations, from Manama to Istanbul to Tripoli to Cairo, in a scene that does not stray from circles of skepticism, prolonging the war, and the outcome is that all these stops ended with them pointing out, openly or implicitly, the necessity of returning to "Jeddah"...
Here lies the crisis, and sorrow dwells. If only the "Brotherhood" of Sudan had exercised reason and realized that their power has vanished irretrievably, and that Sudan is preparing for something new, akin to what happened in Syria, which found support and assistance from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and its wise leadership. Syria is now rising from what it suffered during the "Assad" era. Sudan should have been ahead of Syria in this regard if those holding the reins of power had possessed a degree of awareness, some insight, and a lot of wisdom to spare their country from the destruction and fragmentation, epidemics, and dark future that it faces today.
It is unfortunate and sorrowful that some try to delude themselves and others about the imminent end of this war, affirming a false victory that will not be achieved through gunfire, no matter how intense it becomes. Historical evidence in Sudan is present and reminds us of the outcome of the armed conflict in the south...
The political, economic, and social changes occurring in the Sudanese arena are nearing a conclusion that it is heading towards fragmentation, division, and splitting into states, none of which possess the components of singular governance without catastrophic repercussions. The recent threat made by the "Rapid Support Forces" to form a government in areas under their control gives the first signs, even if it does not receive support and backing, but rather faces resistance and rejection. This may hold for a while, but conversely, it may change with the outcomes of the ongoing war and signs of regional involvement in it...
It is also important to consider the significant contradictions that are swirling in the scene in the areas controlled by the ruling authority in Port Sudan after its departure from Khartoum. All ongoing attempts to form a civilian government, after Dr. Kamal Idris was appointed as the acting Prime Minister, collide with the ambitions of the warring factions against the Rapid Support Forces, especially the armed groups linked to the western Sudan region, whether from the Liberation Movement or Joint Forces. This file is held by the Brotherhood behind the scenes, steering it as they wish, imposing their agenda and choices, seeking to position themselves in power through second-tier cadres unknown from their intermediate leadership, which has activated circles to expose them and confirm their affiliation with the Brotherhood.
Thus, the crisis in Sudan will remain stagnant, and the future of this nation will remain hostage to the adventures of this group that has changed the face of Sudan, disrupted its social structure, squandered its economic resources, and tethered it to a future besieged by catastrophic possibilities, between fragmentation, adventurous authority, violent death, and an ongoing war that leaves nothing behind.
O Allah, grant us safety in our homelands, keep away from us what disturbs the tranquility of our days, and protect our leaders.
With this bleak picture that continues amid the renewed violent fighting between the armed forces and the Rapid Support Forces in West Kordofan, the crisis in Sudan is escalating, taking on more severe and complex dimensions. What began as a mere "rebellion" in a limited area has now turned into a regional war, especially with the recent tensions in the border region with Libya...
I can, without hesitation, point a direct finger of accusation at the Brotherhood group, which has tightened its grip on Sudan since the (Turabi-Bashir) coup in 1989, and its efforts to impose its civilizational project by changing the structure of society and its institutions, in a scene that can only be described as "the process of emptying a state into a party."
Some institutions have lost their national character and have become playthings in the hands of the "Brotherhood," who have gone further by creating militias starting from the "Popular Defense," through the "Rapid Support Forces," "Joint Forces," "Barawun," and dozens of groups that have proliferated and multiplied every day in a chaotic and "tragicomedy" scene, contributing to misery and adding more fuel to the fire of Sudan that has spread throughout its regions...
I am neither exaggerating nor distorting the truth when I blame the "Brotherhood" for bearing full responsibility for what is happening. This crisis could have been averted in its early stages when the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia stepped in and prepared the "Jeddah Platform" for Sudanese to negotiate among themselves. Whenever everyone was close to reaching a solution that satisfied all, the hidden hands of the Brotherhood emerged, steering the file towards deepening the crisis, igniting the flames of conflict, and suggesting that there is no solution except through the gun. What is worse is that the Sudan file has made adventurers and dreamers of regaining their collapsed power roam between countries seeking a solution that aligns with their inclinations, from Manama to Istanbul to Tripoli to Cairo, in a scene that does not stray from circles of skepticism, prolonging the war, and the outcome is that all these stops ended with them pointing out, openly or implicitly, the necessity of returning to "Jeddah"...
Here lies the crisis, and sorrow dwells. If only the "Brotherhood" of Sudan had exercised reason and realized that their power has vanished irretrievably, and that Sudan is preparing for something new, akin to what happened in Syria, which found support and assistance from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and its wise leadership. Syria is now rising from what it suffered during the "Assad" era. Sudan should have been ahead of Syria in this regard if those holding the reins of power had possessed a degree of awareness, some insight, and a lot of wisdom to spare their country from the destruction and fragmentation, epidemics, and dark future that it faces today.
It is unfortunate and sorrowful that some try to delude themselves and others about the imminent end of this war, affirming a false victory that will not be achieved through gunfire, no matter how intense it becomes. Historical evidence in Sudan is present and reminds us of the outcome of the armed conflict in the south...
The political, economic, and social changes occurring in the Sudanese arena are nearing a conclusion that it is heading towards fragmentation, division, and splitting into states, none of which possess the components of singular governance without catastrophic repercussions. The recent threat made by the "Rapid Support Forces" to form a government in areas under their control gives the first signs, even if it does not receive support and backing, but rather faces resistance and rejection. This may hold for a while, but conversely, it may change with the outcomes of the ongoing war and signs of regional involvement in it...
It is also important to consider the significant contradictions that are swirling in the scene in the areas controlled by the ruling authority in Port Sudan after its departure from Khartoum. All ongoing attempts to form a civilian government, after Dr. Kamal Idris was appointed as the acting Prime Minister, collide with the ambitions of the warring factions against the Rapid Support Forces, especially the armed groups linked to the western Sudan region, whether from the Liberation Movement or Joint Forces. This file is held by the Brotherhood behind the scenes, steering it as they wish, imposing their agenda and choices, seeking to position themselves in power through second-tier cadres unknown from their intermediate leadership, which has activated circles to expose them and confirm their affiliation with the Brotherhood.
Thus, the crisis in Sudan will remain stagnant, and the future of this nation will remain hostage to the adventures of this group that has changed the face of Sudan, disrupted its social structure, squandered its economic resources, and tethered it to a future besieged by catastrophic possibilities, between fragmentation, adventurous authority, violent death, and an ongoing war that leaves nothing behind.
O Allah, grant us safety in our homelands, keep away from us what disturbs the tranquility of our days, and protect our leaders.


